2024-03-13

The Hamas Blogging Plan

I know I've mentioned this before, but it definitely bears repeating. Quite likely the biggest reason for the scope and extent of the death and kidnapping on October 7th is that the Israeli security apparatus sucks shit at protecting Israelis. It really does. Just so we are clear on how bad they suck, they had Hamas' Battle Plan for over a year before October 7. It's been a while since I noted this, so let me return to exactly how fucking useless and incompetent these assholes are.

  1. Despite the Battle Plan contained sensitive Israeli military secret information, Israeli intelligence dismissed it as being "aspirational". Sure they could steal secret military intelligence from Israel, but surely these terrorist gunmen couldn't, I don't know, carry an assault rifle while riding a motorcycle?
  2. They had reports of dry runs being carried out in the summer. This is unsurprising - the people of Gaza, especially those suspected of being Hamas, are very tightly scrutinized and surveilled. So if a large number of Hamas fighters were doing training exercises, Israeli intelligence would have gotten reports of it. And it turns out that the training exercises matched the Battle Plan exactly. But still, the Hamas Battle Plan was dismissed as not being serious.
  3. October 7 was the 50th anniversary of the surprise attack that started the Yom Kippur War. And the Hamas Battle Plan was for a surprise attack. It's almost as if someone paying attention could have guessed what the attack as going to be and when it would happen.
  4. The number 4 is unlucky.
  5. Despite all of that - what did the IDF do in advance of October 7th? They literally transferred troops away from Gaza so they could use them to bolster their support of Israeli settler terrorism in the West Bank.
The bullshit nonsense about "security guarantees" for Israel? Quite clearly and obviously, the biggest threat to Israel is the genocidal psychopaths running the country and the fact that gross incompetence results in zero consequences. There's a word that's been getting thrown around a lot - impunity. Mostly in relation to how the US refuses to do anything to hold Israel to account even when there are rampant and blatant war crimes being committed. But that lack of accountability is not solely a gutless American government issue. So much of the world is just letting this slide - just ignoring it completely.

If Hamas is not destroyed, this does not materially harm Israel's security. I know that sounds crazy - but it's the truth. Even if Hamas wants to destroy Israel (and they absolutely say that they do - so we should believe them) - they can only do what they are capable of. Surely Hamas has been wanting to destroy Israel for many years now! And their huge success in mass murdering Israelis would have been prevented if Israeli security wasn't such pure garbage. More importantly - Hamas is not what's causing terrorist gunmen to want to take up arms and commit mass atrocities in Israel. That would be the occupation. An occupied people will want to be free - and the harsher and worse the conditions of occupation are, the more likely it is for violent terrorist movements to come from it. "Destroying Hamas" will not make Gazans suddenly interested in ensuring Israelis feel safe - especially not now after months of the most intense military  siege since World War 2.

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